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Title: Modeling the relationship between climate and conflict: Nigerian intergroup conflict, Boko Haram violence and the Israel-Palestine Conflict
Authors: Van Cleve, Will
Advisors: Oppenheimer, Michael
Department: Geosciences
Class Year: 2017
Abstract: I test the hypothesis that the addition of temperature and precipitation terms improves the predictive power of linear regression models of conflict in West Africa and Israel-Palestine. Furthermore, I aim to quantify the effect of these variables on the probability of conflict incidence. I find that temperature is a significant predictor of intergroup civil conflict incidence in Nigeria and that precipitation is a significant predictor of Boko Haram violent event incidence. I find no significant relationship between climate and the probability of violence associated with the Israel/Palestine conflict.
Type of Material: Princeton University Senior Theses
Language: en_US
Appears in Collections:Geosciences, 1929-2022

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