Skip navigation
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01mg74qp44x
Title: The Economic Factors Giving Rise to Eurosceptic Political Parties in EU Member States, 1997-2015
Authors: Smith, Tanner
Advisors: Moll, Benjamin
Department: Woodrow Wilson School
Class Year: 2015
Abstract: For decades researchers have been linking economic factors to euroscepticism, or sentiments against European integration, by measuring euroscepticism with results from public opinion polls. This paper analyzes how economic factors are linked to euroscepticism when euroscepticism is measured by vote shares going to hard eurosceptic political parties in EU member states’ national legislature elections. Through a series of tests, it finds statistically significant relationships between two economic factors—unemployment rates and debt-to-GDP ratios—and eurosceptic vote shares for the 1997-2015 period. However, when regressions are run on pre- and postcrisis subsets of the initial dataset, for the 1997-2007 period and the 2008-2015 period, the two variable relationships established as significant for the 1997-2015 period are not significant for the pre-crisis period, 1997-2007, but are for the post-crisis period, 2008- 2015. When regressions are run on Eurozone and non-Eurozone subsets of the initial dataset, the results suggest that the significant relationship found between debt-to-GDP ratios and eurosceptic vote shares for the initial EU-wide dataset is largely the result of Eurozone observations while the significant relationship found between unemployment rates and eurosceptic vote shares for the initial EU-wide dataset is largely the result of non-Eurozone observations.
Extent: 81 pages
URI: http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01mg74qp44x
Type of Material: Princeton University Senior Theses
Language: en_US
Appears in Collections:Woodrow Wilson School, 1929-2016

Files in This Item:
File SizeFormat 
PUTheses2015-Smith_Tanner.pdf4.92 MBAdobe PDF    Request a copy


Items in Dataspace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.