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Title: Tides of Fortune: The Rise and Decline of Great Militaries
Authors: Cooper, Zack
Advisors: Friedberg, Aaron
Contributors: Public and International Affairs Department
Keywords: Asymmetric Warfare
Great Powers
Military Power
Offense-Defense Balance
Power Transition
Rise and Decline
Subjects: Political science
Military studies
International relations
Issue Date: 2016
Publisher: Princeton, NJ : Princeton University
Abstract: What types of defense policies do states pursue and how do these policies change over time? This question is central to understanding state behavior, yet it has been understudied. This dissertation proposes a theory of perceived relative power that explains how states alter their defense policies in response to perceived changes in relative power. This hypothesis suggests that as states go through cycles of rise and decline, their leaders alter national objectives (ends), security strategies (ways), and military investments (means) in predictable patterns. States prioritize different military capabilities depending on whether they are rising or declining and strong or weak. This theory helps to explain the rise and decline of great militaries, including the likely next steps in the military competition between the United States and China.
Alternate format: The Mudd Manuscript Library retains one bound copy of each dissertation. Search for these copies in the library's main catalog:
Type of Material: Academic dissertations (Ph.D.)
Language: en
Appears in Collections:Public and International Affairs

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